Sunspot
number,
the
Sun and Weather Forecast
The sun is alive!!
Environment Canada Weather Network Intellicast
Days ahead: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
TEMPERATURE FORECASTS, degree C
Average: Forecast-Actual: 0.36 0.68 0.71 0.17 0.67 -0.90 -0.59 -0.59 -0.01 -0.02 -0.37 -0.37 -0.57 -1.04 0.06 0.13 -0.02 -0.57 -0.79 -0.58 -0.75 0.11 0.15 -0.96
Sigma: 1.99 2.01 2.42 2.24 3.18 3.13 3.71 2.01 2.01 2.43 2.20 2.93 3.40 4.48 2.46 2.25 2.18 2.46 3.17 3.24 4.07 4.46 4.75 4.96
Days of data: ( 76) ( 76) ( 76) ( 75) ( 74) ( 74) ( 73) ( 77) ( 76) ( 76) ( 75) ( 74) ( 74) ( 74) ( 67) ( 66) ( 66) ( 65) ( 64) ( 64) ( 64) ( 63) ( 62) ( 60)
SUN FORECASTS, 1 or 0 == sunny or not.
Average: Forecast-Actual: 0.10 0.08 0.12 0.16 0.07 0.15 0.16 0.22 0.20 0.17 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.16 0.12 0.05 0.12 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.27 -0.23 -0.29
Correlation: 0.75 0.53 0.57 0.50 0.49 0.34 0.21 0.64 0.62 0.49 0.43 0.44 0.15 0.15 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.56 0.28 0.03 0.01 0.01 -0.15 0.10
Days of data: ( 77) ( 76) ( 76) ( 75) ( 74) ( 74) ( 74) ( 77) ( 76) ( 76) ( 75) ( 74) ( 74) ( 74) ( 67) ( 66) ( 66) ( 65) ( 64) ( 64) ( 64) ( 63) ( 62) ( 59)
CLOUD FORECASTS, 1 or 0 == clouds or not.
Average: Forecast-Actual: -0.13 -0.21 -0.26 -0.35 -0.30 -0.24 -0.18 -0.10 -0.22 -0.17 -0.13 -0.16 -0.07 -0.12 -0.12 -0.20 -0.18 -0.14 -0.16 -0.16 -0.05 0.08 0.02 0.14
Correlation: 0.56 0.49 0.54 0.46 0.36 0.26 0.15 0.75 0.33 0.44 0.37 0.44 0.19 0.37 0.46 0.49 0.38 0.37 0.24 0.08 0.16 0.17 -0.07 0.29
Days of data: ( 77) ( 76) ( 76) ( 75) ( 74) ( 74) ( 74) ( 77) ( 76) ( 76) ( 75) ( 74) ( 74) ( 74) ( 67) ( 66) ( 66) ( 65) ( 64) ( 64) ( 64) ( 63) ( 62) ( 59)
PRECIPITATION FORECASTS, 1 or 0 == precipitation (at least for 4 hours between 7:00 and 21:59) or not
Average: Forecast-Actual: 0.10 0.16 0.08 0.08 0.11 0.18 0.23 -0.06 0.03 -0.11 0.04 0.05 0.11 0.07 0.06 0.11 0.02 0.06 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.32 0.33 0.38
Correlation: 0.55 0.62 0.46 0.54 0.50 0.30 0.28 0.66 0.58 0.46 0.49 0.40 0.16 0.13 0.52 0.56 0.50 0.58 0.22 0.29 0.09 0.14 -0.08 0.20
Days of data: ( 77) ( 76) ( 76) ( 75) ( 74) ( 74) ( 74) ( 77) ( 76) ( 76) ( 75) ( 74) ( 74) ( 74) ( 66) ( 65) ( 65) ( 64) ( 63) ( 63) ( 63) ( 62) ( 61) ( 58)
RAIN PERCENT FORECASTS, 1 or 0 == precipitation (at least for 4 hours between 7:00 and 21:59) or not
Average: 0% <20% forecast: 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 17% 17% 0% 11% 9% 0% 12% 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 50% 0%
Average: 20% <40% forecast: 50% 75% 50% 25% 50% 29% 33% 24% 8% 25% 31% 12% 9% 33% 67% --- 0% 100% --- --- --- --- --- ---
Average: 40% <60% forecast: 100% 50% 40% 33% 33% 0% 100% 56% 88% 40% 17% 0% 17% 56% 57% 50% 50% --- 50% 0% --- --- --- ---
Average: 60% <80% forecast: 50% 86% 44% 50% 40% 40% 33% 100% 75% 100% 25% 67% 50% 33% 100% --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Average: 80%-100% forecast: 100% 100% 67% 83% 100% --- --- 100% 78% 50% 83% 86% 33% 11% 67% 100% 100% --- 0% --- --- --- --- ---
Days of data for 0% <20%: ( 11) ( 8) ( 11) ( 10) ( 11) ( 12) ( 12) ( 9) ( 9) ( 11) ( 12) ( 8) ( 7) ( 8) ( 4) ( 3) ( 1) ( 2) ( 2) ( 1) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2)
Days of data for 20% <40%: ( 4) ( 4) ( 2) ( 4) ( 2) ( 7) ( 3) ( 21) ( 12) ( 20) ( 13) ( 16) ( 11) ( 9) ( 3) ( 0) ( 1) ( 1) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0)
Days of data for 40% <60%: ( 5) ( 6) ( 5) ( 6) ( 3) ( 2) ( 2) ( 9) ( 8) ( 5) ( 6) ( 7) ( 6) ( 9) ( 7) ( 2) ( 2) ( 0) ( 2) ( 1) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0)
Days of data for 60% <80%: ( 4) ( 7) ( 9) ( 2) ( 5) ( 10) ( 9) ( 3) ( 4) ( 3) ( 4) ( 6) ( 14) ( 6) ( 2) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0)
Days of data for 80%-100%: ( 1) ( 3) ( 3) ( 6) ( 2) ( 0) ( 0) ( 6) ( 9) ( 6) ( 6) ( 7) ( 3) ( 9) ( 6) ( 1) ( 2) ( 0) ( 1) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0)
RAIN mm FORECASTS, in mm
Average: Forecast-Actual: 9.00 -0.73 --- --- --- --- --- -2.98 0.34 -0.15 -0.50 0.21 0.69 -0.73 -12.00 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Sigma: --- 5.30 --- --- --- --- --- 7.19 3.94 4.23 7.29 7.90 3.82 8.73 16.40 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Days of data: ( 1) ( 3) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 32) ( 36) ( 34) ( 33) ( 31) ( 32) ( 36) ( 2) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0)
SNOW PERCENT FORECASTS, 1 or 0 == precipitation (at least for 4 hours between 7:00 and 21:59) or not
Average: 0% <20% forecast: --- 0% --- 0% --- 0% --- 0% 0% 8% 10% 9% 33% 33% 0% 33% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% --- 0% ---
Average: 20% <40% forecast: 62% 50% 100% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 25% 31% 8% 25% 35% 30% 56% 71% 80% 40% 50% 69% 50% 55% 62% 43%
Average: 40% <60% forecast: 40% 67% 25% 100% 100% 0% 40% 75% 56% 43% 50% 50% 29% 50% 86% 0% 0% 50% 0% 0% --- 50% 0% 50%
Average: 60% <80% forecast: 75% 80% 100% 67% 75% 56% 27% 100% 100% 50% 67% 100% 50% 33% 67% --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Average: 80%-100% forecast: 100% 100% 0% 100% --- --- --- 100% 100% 100% 50% 67% 67% 60% 100% 100% --- 0% 100% --- 100% 0% 0% 0%
Days of data for 0% <20%: ( 0) ( 1) ( 0) ( 1) ( 0) ( 1) ( 0) ( 11) ( 7) ( 12) ( 10) ( 11) ( 6) ( 9) ( 4) ( 3) ( 3) ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( 0) ( 1) ( 0)
Days of data for 20% <40%: ( 8) ( 6) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 8) ( 4) ( 8) ( 12) ( 13) ( 12) ( 12) ( 17) ( 10) ( 9) ( 7) ( 5) ( 5) ( 10) ( 13) ( 8) ( 11) ( 8) ( 14)
Days of data for 40% <60%: ( 5) ( 3) ( 4) ( 1) ( 1) ( 3) ( 5) ( 8) ( 9) ( 7) ( 8) ( 6) ( 7) ( 10) ( 7) ( 2) ( 1) ( 2) ( 2) ( 1) ( 0) ( 2) ( 3) ( 2)
Days of data for 60% <80%: ( 4) ( 5) ( 1) ( 3) ( 4) ( 9) ( 15) ( 3) ( 4) ( 2) ( 6) ( 2) ( 4) ( 3) ( 3) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0)
Days of data for 80%-100%: ( 2) ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 3) ( 3) ( 5) ( 2) ( 1) ( 0) ( 1) ( 1) ( 0) ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( 2)
SNOW cm FORECASTS, in cm
Average: Forecast-Actual: 0.11 0.60 --- --- --- --- --- -1.00 0.29 0.96 1.13 1.66 1.04 0.13 0.05 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Sigma: 1.39 1.70 --- --- --- --- --- 1.66 1.63 2.49 2.01 4.24 4.49 5.79 4.37 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Days of data: ( 7) ( 2) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 11) ( 17) ( 17) ( 25) ( 16) ( 18) ( 19) ( 4) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0) ( 0)