I’d like to share this video from the See the Pattern channel. I think the video does a very good job of explaining what challenges an alternative cosmological theory would have to overcome and what it would need to explain.
https://youtu.be/NKoWo8xGT6A?is=V2XV4ICm1_T86DPt
What do you think?
EDIT: I started reading through the comments under the video and… Jesus Christ, there’s so much crackpottery down there.
Anyone who has watched a few cowboy movies will know that people have been ‘hanged from them thar trees’ for a lot less evidence, and once the lynch mob’s mind is made up, it’s going to take some shooting to stop it.
It’s an incredibly well-done video highlighting the plight of the ΛCDM crowd (and ours) and what it will take to overcome this. Anyone might come with an alternative for the CMB, or dark matter, or dark energy, or redshift, or …. but unless they have a convincing set that overthrows a good chunk of standard model, it’s going to just get a sideways glance.
In this way he is absolutely right. We cannot just show an alternate model that ‘doesn’t require dark matter’ if it cannot intuitively lead to solutions for most or all of the rest. It is clear that a new model is needed, but also clear that this model has not been found yet.
@Francois-Zinserling writes: >Anyone might come with an alternative for the CMB [ .. ]
Here is the work ACG has done on the CMB. And this has been my best shot at the CMB so far.
$$ u_{CMB} = \frac{4\sigma}{c}\Theta^4 = \frac{W.\mbox{VMT}.e^{-W}}{32\pi.w}\frac{(Hc)^2}{G} $$
Apart from details, the idea is that the CMB energy density at our position is divided by the maximal intrinsic redshift of the energy density at the rim of the Observable universe, which is given by $1+z_{max}=e^W$. This would lead to a enlargement of the temperature $\Theta$ itself by an factor of $e^{W/4} = (1+z)^{1/4}$. However, according to the video by Gareth this factor must be $(1+z)$ instead. Theoretically, the latter is in concordance with Wien’s displacement law, as follows.
$$ \lambda_{peak} = \frac{b}{\Theta} \quad \Longrightarrow \quad \frac{\Theta_O}{\Theta_0} = \frac{\lambda_0}{\lambda_O} \quad \Longrightarrow \quad \Theta_O = (1+z_{max})\Theta_0 \approx e^{3.383634283}\times 2.726\mbox{ }K \approx 80.356\mbox{ }K $$
where $\Theta_0$ is the CMB temperature here and now and $\Theta_O$ is the CMB temperature at the rim of the Observable universe. It all means that my best shot at the CMB is plain wrong. Not unexpectedly, because the formula has been found by matching and stretching, while knowing the CMB temperature at our place. But anyway, it’s useful to have an estimate for $\Theta_O$ now. (Does everybody see the difference between $0$ and $O$ ?)
It is seen that our maximal redshift as well as our maximal temperature is inside the range of the data displayed in the two screenshots. And because of the logarithmic scale for Redshift in the second picture the temperature rises there as an exponential.
I do regret saying this:
because there are many sterling works out there, including from this group. I think the point I was trying to make is that the mountain before us cannot be scaled by one person on his own. Case in point the volume of ‘evidence’ the video shows for the Standard Model. Let me not be the one to discourage anyone - if anything - let us work together more.
@HanDeBruijn it is my opinion that the ‘rim of the observable universe’ is just one telescope away from being extended. JWST has probably shown that already and there will likely be better ones soon. This means the ‘maximum’ x-value on that last graph above will become larger and the y-value must go exponentially higher. Must it go to infinite? - no this is un-physics.
But it is likely there is a cut-off maximum. Then, my opinion - this CMB/Redshift graph is a reverse of a typical $$Ce^{-ax}+B$$ curve where B is the remaining CMB at our measuring point (or a subtle variation there-of), with ‘x=0’ at the observable boundary, and C is a scaling factor C=1 below). Uhm, well, ok $$e^{ax}+B $$ to the ‘left’ from us at 0 but we are not the origin, we are the remote measuring point of a distant event. Rem ‘B’ assumed a constant 2.7K in the S.M.
Crude graph from desmos.com of $$e^{-ax}+B$$ (arbitrary scale!)
The real graph should then look like this, where we are at a point on ‘x’ where still CMB>0. $$e^{-ax}+B$$ (B=0)
The immediate counter-argument might be that someone ‘to the left of us’ should read CCMB=0, but if they use the same measuring devices as us, their graph will contain a different chunk of universe but will look exactly like ours - not zero. With the same instruments their ‘x’ should match ours and their CMB will also appear to be 2.7K.
@Francois-Zinserling writes: >it is my opinion that the ‘rim of the observable universe’ is just one telescope away from being extended.
The ‘rim of the observable universe’ has a very special (and perhaps rather counter-intuitive) meaning in the Variable Mass Theory (VM). It is e.g. the same for any observer, and its distance is
$$ R_O = W.\frac{c}{H} $$
where $W=3.383634283$ , $c=$ lightspeed in vacuum , $H=$ Hubble parameter .
I am not going to repeat the whole story at this place.
As for the rest of your argument: I just can’t make sense of it. So let’s repeat.
It seems to me that the labeling of the temperature axis is somewhat sloppy. I would expect a subdivision in the decimal system, which is likely not (?) the case. (Is it a subdivision in units of 5K ? Then where is the 2.7 K at the origin ? ) But let us concentrate on the axis labeled “Redshift”. I think it is not really the redshift but (one plus the redshift) instead: $z \rightarrow (1+z)$. And the real variable at that place is not even $(1+z)$ but $s=\log(1+z)$, which is the definition of a logarithmic scale $s$. Now look at the formula for CMB temperature.
$$ \large s=\log(1+z) \quad \Longrightarrow \quad 1+z = 10^s $$
$$ \large \Theta(z) = (1+z)\Theta_0 = \Theta_0 10^s \quad \mbox{with} \quad _0 = \mbox{here and now} $$
Meaning that the linear relationship for $\Theta$ in $z$ looks like an exponential at the logarithmic scale $s$ . For $z=0$ we simply have the CMB temperature at our place: $\Theta(0) = \Theta_0 10^s = \Theta_0 10^{\log(1+0)} = \Theta_0 10^0=\Theta_0$.
I think this is a good reminder of what the graph actually represents. Meaning my ‘it looks like a reverse exponential decay’ is a result of the scale, and my whole point thus moot. 🤣
@Francois-Zinserling . Yesterday it looked better than it looks now.
Your whole point may be moot. But my scale is not good :-(
Update
The picture according to the above would be something like this
which is similar but not quite what’s in the video.
@luisenrique-arch Unfortunately “See The Pattern” and “DemystifySci” attract a lot of crackpots. It’s a bit better in their Patreon channels, but even there the majority don’t even understand 10% of what’s being discussed in the videos.
The video is good, but the reality is that incomplete cosmologies are not publishable because the ‘mob’ has decided that alternatives are wrong.
@Francois-Zinserling where can we go to get “some shooting” done? Mainstream cosmologists are too ‘chicken’ to even risk their skin in a western-type duel/debate!
Here’s my comment on See the Pattern/Patreon:
@RedshiftDrift and @ExpEarth .
From Can the CMB temperature be less than 2.7 K ? (broken) this picture:
And another picture from this reference:
The measurements of the CMB temperature in diffuse interstellar medium of the Milky-Way and high redshift galaxies based on excitation of CI fine-structure and H2 rotational levels
So what is it ? Is $\Theta(z) = (1+z)\Theta(0)$ indeed linear in the cosmological redshift ? Or is the CMB temperature an absolute constant ?
You most likely have it right with the first answer, T(z) = T0(1 + z) . Gareth had this relation as #4 in his list of things alternative models have to explain. He concedes that there could be errors in the techniques, as @RedshiftDrift has also argued, but at this point the burden is on others show where the measurements are wrong. The relation was used to draw my figure above. It totally fits with the shell universe model, where we have the radiation from the hot shell being redshifted as it goes to the centre. There’s a corresponding blueshift in radiation going outwards towards the shell. For an observer at the shell, the centre of the universe would look ver bright. The relation seems to somehow fit your model too, but I can’t say for sure, as I still don’t understand your model.
@ExpEarth . >as I still don’t understand your model.
Don’t bother, Matt, because as concerning the CMB I do no longer understand it myself too :-( Note. With Variable Mass (VM), $T$ is systematically replaced by $\Theta$ for temperature, because $T$ has been reserved for Orbital time.
Testing Cosmologies on Equal Footing https://youtu.be/pA-qAffm8jQ?is=RTM-BYyiG-Iu1S4M
I think that about sums it up. Thankfully LCDM did not have all ‘green’ tabs though.
I tried to do a similar analysis… then gave up after reading 75 alternative cosmologies!
@RedshiftDrift
Apart from your model and the New Tired Light (which I know you view positively), which models do you think are the least problematic among the ones you’ve examined? Which ones do you think could potentially be salvaged and made to work well with enough modifications or revisions?
As things stand now, I wouldn’t call your model an actual cosmology. You’ve developed a very solid explanation for redshift, but you’re still working on your paper about the CMB, and you still need to develop more refined explanations for galaxy rotation curves and the other phenomena currently attributed to dark matter. So I’d describe your model more as an emerging cosmology, something that’s gradually taking shape.
@luisenrique-arch you are right, the STz framework and NTL are not cosmologies.
None of these cosmologies can be salvaged! Instead, the next cosmology will come from parts of the proposals made by Ashmore (FRBs), Brynjolfsson (distance relations), Lerner (plasmas), and Narlikar/Hoyle/Burbidge (nucleosynthesis), with STz as an explanation for redshift, light-curve stretching, and the CMB.
@RedshiftDrift writes: >with STz as an explanation for redshift, light-curve stretching, and the CMB.
(1) redshift is also explained by the Variable Mass theory, which is incompatible with Tired Light (2) light-curve stretching is also described by the Time Dilated Past hypothesis, compatible with VM (3) and the CMB is still a nightmare which so far as I know is shared by all of us in A Cosmology Group
@HanDeBruijn
If the CMB is a nightmare for many of the cosmological models proposed by members of this forum, as you yourself admit, then why do you all put so much effort into trying to find alternatives to the Lambda-CDM model, which actually explains the CMB very well?
Please, don’t take my question as a provocation. I absolutely agree we should be looking for alternatives to Lambda-CDM. I’m not trying to argue that Lambda-CDM is correct. I’m asking this question simply because I want to understand where you guys are coming from, and why you think it’s worth pursuing these alternative models despite the difficulties they have with the CMB.
@luisenrique-arch . >why do you all put so much effort into trying to find alternatives to the Lambda-CDM model
What would you do, if you have to choose between Chronology of the universe or Genesis 1 ?? I made my choice about ten years ago. I’m an old earth creationist, if you want to put me in a box.
Yes @HanDeBruijn the CMB is a tough nut to crack. But I’m working on it from the point of view of STz (what else :smile:) and it’s promising. @luisenrique-arch I still think that the CMB is produced by an equilibrium between STz redshift and Sunyaev-Zel’dovich blue-shift; that’s one of the many reasons why I think it’s worth pursuing this alternative explanation. (STz is not a model…)
@RedshiftDrift
Well, it’s not a cosmological model, but it’s a redshift model.
This reply is the last in a series of one , two , three , four .
Elsewhere, the following formulas for the Hubble parameter $H$ have been found.
$$ H^2 = \chi G \rho_c \quad \mbox{with} \quad \chi = 8\pi \times \begin{cases} 1/8 & (: \mbox{OI}) \ 1/6 & (: \mbox{Mach}) \ 1/3 & (: \Lambda\mbox{CDM}) \ w & (: \mbox{VM}) \end{cases} $$
where $G=$ gravitational constant, $\rho_c=$ critical mass density of cosmos, $w=$ 0.3883945571 dimensionless constant. The first and the second case will be ignored in the current context, leaving us with the cases (ΛCDM) and (VM).
In the Variable Mass theory there is not a single value for the Hubble parameter, because $H=(2/A)$ where A is an “Age” and A can even be the age of the earth. To put it even stronger:
with VM the Hubble tension is real and required !!
Let us first define the Hubble parameter of the Observable universe in VM:
$$ H_O^2 = w.8\pi.G.\rho_c \quad \mbox{(Late universe)} $$
And a different Hubble parameter for the Cosmic Microwave Background:
$$ H_{CMB}^2 = \frac{1}{3}.8\pi.G.\rho_c \quad \mbox{(Early universe)} $$
Then it follows that
$$ H_{CMB}^2 = \frac{1}{3w} H_O^2 \quad \Longrightarrow \quad \boxed{ H_{CMB} = \frac{1}{\sqrt{3w}} H_O } $$
Numerical values are obtained at hand of the following data. >‘Hubble constant – at 67.4 (+/- 0.5) km/sec/Mpc’, NASA Science, July 22, 2018 ‘Hubble constant at 73.2 (+/- 1.3) km/sec/Mpc’, The Astrophysical Journal Letters, February 2021
$$ H_{CMB} = \frac{1}{\sqrt{0.3883945571\times 3}} \times 73.2 = 67.8 $$
which is according to the data !!
This confirms that we must indeed use the ΛCDM entry in the above picture. Leading immediately to the desired result, as displayed with bold font in our last reply:
the outcome is Θ0 = 2.725 K , which accurately equals the empirical value
@RedshiftDrift writes: >I still think that the CMB is produced by an equilibrium between STz redshift and Sunyaev-Zel’dovich blue-shift
Oh no, Louis, I think it’s not by far that complicated, but let Occam’s razor decide. Meanwhile I will be preparing a ground-breaking paper for QSSC that nobody is interested in :-(
Update
Check, check, double check with MAPLE.
Giving respectively $2.61(2)\mbox{ K} \le \Theta_0 \le 2.72(2) \mbox{ K}$. 🤔
No. As I wrote, STz is not a model. STz is a derivation of recoil-light redshift based on quantum optics.
‘Models’ are used when the system is too complex, poorly understood, or when a simplified version suffices for the purpose: i.e. the Big Bang model.
‘Derivations’ are used when the goal is to apply known theories to specific cases or to verify the consistency of a theory: i.e. Kepler’s Laws derived from Newton’s Law of Universal Gravitation.